In last few days, besides Jay Costs tweets, there have been
two pieces critical of Jeb Bush pointing to the irresponsibility of his
campaign. Liam Donovan’s is here https://medium.com/@LPDonovan/in-defense-of-mike-murphy-b046e0dc0d0b#.pafylgli2
and in the Weekly Standard Steven Hayes http://www.weeklystandard.com/how-jeb-cleared-the-way-for-trump/article/2000726
The common thread is that Jeb has found it impossible to
promote himself in the race so he’s opted for a strategy of destroying all the
alternatives to Trump but himself in the belief that faced with no alternative voters will turn to him. Having raised a great deal of money Bush
has been successful in stopping better candidates--$20m against Rubio—and that
this is a dangerous, irresponsible game he’s playing.
But I would contend that this charge of irresponsibility
which ends up circling on Bush’s inability to win the nomination and or win the
presidency doesn’t go far enough. Even in best case scenarios Jeb’s campaign
was irresponsible.
First, if Jeb won the nomination but lost in the general you
would’ve had what is perceived as a establishment candidate losing after the
McCain and Romney losses. The result of this would be I think the breakup of
the Republican Party, which in the abstract doesn’t sound so bad, but its
replacement could be just about anything or things and it would almost
certainly hand power to the Democrats for a decade or more. So Jeb wins the
nomination and there’s something like a 50:50 chance the party is destroyed.
Not good.
But what if Jeb won the general and became President? Then
it’s—policy differences aside—all good, right? Ah, no. In that case we’d have
the following sequence: Bush I-Clinton-Bush II-Obama-Bush III with the loser in
the race being Clinton II. That simply can’t be, if the idea of a democratic
republic is to hold, and most conservatives know it.
Alone among commentators Jonah Goldberg has insisted that in
the Hillary e-mail scandal the server IS the smoking gun. Similarly, I would
insist that insist that the irresponsibility of the Jeb campaign was inherent,
was present at the beginning. Before he announced Barbara Bush let slip that
she didn’t want him to run. The lesson, as always, listen to your mother.
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